This articles interviewed some real Chinese people.  Frankly those economists and their meaningless GDP projections, who’s gonna win, and chest thumping are getting tiring.

https://qz.com/1417543/messed-up-my-life-what-chinese-people-really-think-of-the-trade-war/

“I ran out of nuts yesterday and wanted to top up my stock,” wrote a female user (link in Chinese) based in northern Hebei province, but she found the nuts she’s used to eating every day, including pecans, commonly sourced from the US, cost her more.

“I asked the shop owner, ‘Why is it more expensive than last time?’ The owner said it’s because of the trade war,” she continued, “And I asked him, ‘What’s the relationship?’ He said that he had imported lots of the nuts from overseas. This is the first time I feel the impact of the trade war.”

“Americans have been building an anti-China circle. In the first round, the Mexico gave in, then Canada. I am afraid that the third round is Japan, then Europe,” said another (link in Chinese). “I highly suggest that China should make major adjustments to its current policies instead of listening to the opinions from so-called elites.”

“Americans have been building an anti-China circle. In the first round, the Mexico gave in, then Canada. I am afraid that the third round is Japan, then Europe,” said another (link in Chinese). “I highly suggest that China should make major adjustments to its current policies instead of listening to the opinions from so-called elites.”

This opinion article feels that China can win, I doubt that they can use keynesian Monetary stimulus very effectively against aging work-force. They already got enough empty ghost cities full of gleaming glass towers already. Their problem is similar to Japan in the 90’s but 10x larger, and full of ethnic tension.

https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/trump-would-lose-trade-war-with-china-by-anatole-kaletsky-2018-09

This raises the question of how Trump will react when his tariffs start to hurt US businesses and voters, while China and the rest of the world shrug them off. The probable answer is that Trump will follow the precedent of his conflicts with North Korea, the European Union, and Mexico. He will “make a deal” that fails to achieve his stated objectives but allows him to boast of a “win” and justify the verbal belligerence that inspires his supporters.

This article sees it as US addressing long term security threat:

https://www.scmp.com/comment/insight-opinion/united-states/article/2164833/us-china-trade-war-win-win-washington-least


China’s use of trade to retaliate in political disputes – an embargo on rare earth exports to Japan following the arrest of a Chinese fishing boat captain in 2010; restrictions on salmon imports from Norway following the awarding of the Nobel Peace Prize to Liu Xiaobo that year; restrictions on banana imports from the Philippines following the escalation of South China Sea tensions in 2012; a boycott of Lotte stores in China after the deployment of THAAD missile defence batteries in South Korea in 2017 – changes the calculus of the benefits of trade with the world’s second-largest economy.

If China holds fast and does not open its markets, then US businesses will respond to tariffs by seeking markets and imports from other countries and delinking the two major economies, thereby reducing the possibility that Beijing will be able to use trade to coerce Washington in any future policy disagreement.